3 Jul · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lapa
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+130
H2H42-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-28)