3 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lapa
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1378
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
🌟Tymchenko stays under total as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+148
H2H34-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-13)