3 Jul · 15:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1578
FormLWLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Volgina
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
71%
29%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~75 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H76-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-30)