3 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1578
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H102-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-62)