3 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1398
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bondareva
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1378
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Bondareva
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H26-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.