3 Jul · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1398
FormWWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+128
H2H38-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-8)