3 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Severina
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1378
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Tymchenko stays under total as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Severina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.