4 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1589
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1589
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.