4 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1577
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1589
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H13-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.