4 Jul · 20:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1372
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tymchenko
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1370
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Tymchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H32-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.