5 Jul · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1206
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Mykhailyk
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1374
FormLLLLW
30%
70%
⚡ Cover lean · Mykhailyk🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Mykhailyk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~72 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+168
H2H48-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-24)