5 Jul · 08:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1288
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
29%
71%
🌟Kolbasenko stays under total as favourite 63% (60)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~72 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H27-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-12)