5 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1288
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Harmash
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1233
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)