5 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1206
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plashchynska
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1233
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Plashchynska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H12-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.