5 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1582
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shevchuk
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1559
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.