5 Jul · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1374
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Mykhailyk
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1233
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
⚡ Cover lean · Mykhailyk
Fair odds · Mykhailyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~72 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+141
H2H29-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-10)