5 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1582
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H15-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.