5 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1444
FormWLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1582
FormLWWLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+138
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)