5 Jul · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1444
FormWLWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
30%
70%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+167
H2H32-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-21)