6 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1787
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yevtodii
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1743
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Plokhotniuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H37-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-21)