7 Jul · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🇺🇦Olena Nalisnykovska
ELO 1611
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Plokhotniuk
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1760
FormWLWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+149
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)