7 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🇺🇦Olena Nalisnykovska
ELO 1611
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1777
FormWWLLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+166
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)