7 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1250
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Harmash
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1256
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.