7 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1250
FormLLWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1485
FormWWWLL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~71 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
28%
2-3
18%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+235
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)