7 Jul · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kolbasenko
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1391
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Kolbasenko stays under total as favourite 63% (60)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H46-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-18)