7 Jul · 08:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1250
FormLLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Mykhailyk
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1391
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
⚡ Cover lean · Mykhailyk
Fair odds · Mykhailyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~72 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+141
H2H31-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-10)