7 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1760
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1777
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Plokhotniuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H38-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.