7 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ON
🇺🇦Olena Nalisnykovska
ELO 1611
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nalisnykovska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1599
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Rzhevska covers set handicap as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Nalisnykovska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.