7 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1485
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.