10 Jul · 16:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1216
FormLWWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1469
FormWWWWL
22%
78%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~71 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+253
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)