10 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1216
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plashchynska
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1242
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Plashchynska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H13-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.