10 Jul · 15:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1410
FormLLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1582
FormWWLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~73 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H46-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-12)