10 Jul · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1216
FormLWWLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
20%
80%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~70 pts
0-3
35%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+283
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+283)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)