10 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1469
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.