10 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1243
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Harmash
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1242
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Harmash rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.