10 Jul · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1242
FormLLWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
22%
78%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (98)
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~71 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+257
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+257)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)