10 Jul · 19:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1401
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bondareva
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1410
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as favourite 69% (16)
Fair odds · Bondareva
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H27-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.