10 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1216
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Harmash
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1243
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Harmash rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H44-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.