Nadiia Harmash vs Polina Pashchenko — Setka Cup Women

← Setka Cup Women predictions

10 Jul · 12:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash

ELO 1247

3-2Final setsHarmash won

🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko

ELO 1477

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pashchenko at 65%. The actual result was Nadiia Harmash 3-2 — the underdog won.

Nadiia Harmash — profile →Polina Pashchenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pashchenko favoured

Upset

Total 74.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Pashchenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Pashchenko −5.5 points

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Nadiia Harmash is favoured to win, below means Polina Pashchenko.

▲ Nadiia Harmashpre 30% → final 100%

Polina Pashchenko ▼

Biggest swing 85 ptsHarmash recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games