11 Jul · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1349
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tymchenko
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1409
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Tymchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H33-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-25)