11 Jul · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1549
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1622
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H16-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-13)