11 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1549
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1578
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.