11 Jul · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1409
FormLLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1640
FormWLWWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+231
H2H36-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+231)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-27)