11 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1622
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1640
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (457)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H101-103
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.