12 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1555
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Yureneva
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1489
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)