12 Jul · 11:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1215
FormLWLWL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1555
FormLWWWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~70 pts
0-3
37%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+340
H2H62-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+340)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-19)