12 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1215
FormLWLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1489
FormWLWWL
20%
80%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
18%
3-2
8%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+274
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+274)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)