12 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1555
FormLWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yureneva
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1382
FormWLLWL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~72 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H122-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (122-49)