12 Jul · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1215
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Harmash
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1256
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Harmash rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (118)
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H45-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-38)