15 Jul · 16:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1239
FormWLLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1550
FormLWLWW
17%
83%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (215)
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 66%Total ~70 pts
0-3
36%
1-3
30%
2-3
16%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+311
H2H43-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+311)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-8)